1. Indianapolis Colts (10-6): This team won't be taking anybody by surprise this year. With that being said Andrew Luck can lead this offense to their first division title since Peyton Manning lead the team back in 2010. If this team wants to go anywhere in the playoffs they will need to be able to stop the run, which was very difficult for them last year.
2. Houston Texans (10-6): Even though the Texans have Foster and Johnson, they will have to remain healthy because I just to fully trust Matt Schaub. They also can't rely on a gravy schedule that they had last year to get them on a 5-0 start, this year will be more of a battle to get into the playoffs.
3. Tennessee Titans (6-10): With a defense that allowed the most points last season, this team needs Jake Locker to be consistent and healthy and will need Chris Johnson to be a play maker if they plan on making my prediction of 6 wins wrong.
4. Jacksonville Jaguars (3-13): I think this the the final year of the Blaine Gabbert expirement, and as you can see, I don't think that will go well. Gus Bradley will have to wait until next offseason to start grooming the roster into one that will suit him better.